What does this data transformation and curation process look like and what kinds of things drive it?
Transforming BMS and battery cycler data requires deep domain experience in telemetry, data architecture, data processing and algorithms (including machine learning or “ML”), along with extensive battery expertise. Preparing and processing all of the relevant data can be broken down into these broad steps: 1) Data ingest and data shaping, 2) Data parameterization and data modeling, 3) Ongoing data parsing and threading (by serial number, string, block, etc.), 4) Data analytics including ML and visualization, and ultimately, 5) Data monetization.
Threading and orchestrating thousands of registers, while coupling other exogenous data such as ambient profiling, requires careful construction. Computational workloads can become demanding and require both big data architecture and active data curation strategies. Consideration must be given to performance and cost at every step. At-scale, monetization can occur only if these steps are all carried out successfully.
It’s unrealistic that fleet operators, battery packagers, integrators, and OEMs have all the in-house expertise needed to accomplish this, and therefore partnering strategies must be considered. A partner can bring specific skills that help to effectively thread and parse the data, process it with machine learning and other methods, and ultimately help generate high-impact revenue-accretive or cost avoidance insights.
What challenges do you see specifically for battery manufacturers, integrators, and packagers?
In the majority of use cases I’ve seen, customer battery usage profiles depart from the expected operating regime. Departing from warrantied or contracted operating cycling regimes introduces considerable risks including degradation and other implications. On the other hand, often a change in operating profile is necessary to give the operator a revenue advantage. Sure, load shifting, peak shifting, and frequency regulation are common use cases for battery-based grid-scale storage. However, over the asset’s lifetime a battery farm operator may want to apply any one of a dozen other revenue-generating use cases, including reserve capacity, black start, ramping, and demand response. These additional revenue generation opportunities should be accommodated by warranty regimes. To optimize investment and maintain competitiveness over a 6-10 year lifecycle, operators need predictive analytics to understand how their unique battery configuration will perform in various “what if” scenarios.
Battery manufacturers, integrators, and packagers have essentially two options for combatting usage profile uncertainty and risk: a restrictive, cost-avoidance approach and/or a revenue-accretive approach. The first approach deploys degradation analytics and monitoring to ensure that batteries are cycled in a manner consistent with warranty requirements and life-extension considerations. The second approach allows operators and battery providers to make decisions that maximize revenue potential, by focusing for example on incremental capacity and warranty upgrades.
What about batteries for EV and other mobility applications?
The uniqueness of batteries, coupled with uncertain operating regimes, make EV and transportation-based battery use cases challenging. Serialized degradation models that don’t account for driver/operator behavior, varying ambient conditions, and potentially erratic cycling regimes will not yield sufficient insight for monetization. Recognize that some models/ML algorithms need to be “continuously” updated in 10-minute intervals, while others are updated hourly or daily. For example, a degradation model might be updated every minute to allow for alerting when discharge rates exceed dynamically-computed upper limits. Other models, such as Remaining Useful Life (RUL) might be computed every day or week.
I believe that transportation and energy storage batteries will increasingly fall under leasing regimes. That said, it’s hard to ignore the additional challenges presented by battery leasing models. One of the “apex metrics” in the leasing world is residual value, which helps determine the depreciation rate and payment schedule. Analytics solutions such as PLI for Batteries can dynamically compute the residual value of battery assets to provide real-time material insights both to operators and battery leasing businesses. Gaining better insights on how the asset is depreciating, and understanding how the residual value might be impacted in certain what-if operating scenarios will help fleet operators enormously. Enabling battery leasing programs with these insights, driven by machine learning, is a focus area for Peaxy, with features in PLI for Batteries that help lessors make sure they protect the long-term residual value of their battery assets.